1. Computing is heading towards a new, simplified era.
I’ve written about this before, but fundamentally: we’re on the cusp of a revolution in simplicity. Easy to use touch interfaces are the final piece of the jigsaw, and will devices easier to use than ever before.
2. The most important thing about the iPad is the battery life.
Yes, it’s a lovely screen and runs great apps and its easy to use. But none of this would matter if it didn’t also have the ability to be thrown in a bag at the start of the day and not plugged in again till the end. Not having to consider power makes a massive difference in how usable a device is. It’s the one thing about the iPad that really lifts it from cool toy to essential.
3. When it comes to broadband, speed is less important than always-on.
Yes, it’s great to have 50Mbits/sec pipes into your home. But it’s much, much more of a game-changer when you have 1Mbits/sec on a mobile device that you carry everywhere. Ubiquity trumps speed.
4. In five years time, not using your own name is going to look as old-fashioned as an AOL-style handle now.
Hundreds of millions of users have got used to the idea that they use their own name online, via Facebook. It hasn’t hurt.
5. “The hobbyists” are losing control… and they won’t like it.
Up until now, computing and technology’s culture has been largely determined by a group I call “the hobbyists”. Traditions like anonymity and the primacy of code have been part of the unwritten law of the Internet. That era is dying, and “the hobbyists” don’t like it. Expect culture clashes between this old Internet and the new one.
Over to you…