Some interesting comments on Flash, from Opera’s product analyst Phillip Grønvold:
“Today’s internet content is dependant on Flash,’ said Grønvold. ‘If you remove Flash you do not have today’s internet. We are trying to give the best internet experience for our users therefore we need Flash – there is no way to beat around that bush.
But at Opera we say that the future of the web is open web standards and Flash is not an open web standards technology. Flash does have its purposes and will have its purposes, the same as [Microsoft's] Silverlight and others, especially for dynamic content. But flash as a video container makes very little sense for CPU, WiFi battery usage etcetera – you can cook an egg on [devices] once you start running Flash on them and there’s a reason for that.”
In other words: Flash is a temporary fix to a problem which is going away.
Carl Howe, for Yankee Group:
“Apple announced on Monday that it has sold more than 1 million iPads since its announcement on January 27. I’m counting since January 27 only because pre-orders are included; the reality is the most of those sales and deliveries have been in the last 30 days. Assuming that rate continues in May (and because even Apple Stores keep running out of stock that seems likely), we’ll see Apple having sold about 1.5 million units by the end of May. Average sales prices seem to be in the $645 range (16 GByte WiFi and 64GByte 3G units seem to be the top sellers). Do the math, and we discover a quite remarkable number: Apple’s iPad will likely take the crown for the fastest consumer product growth to the $1 billion revenue mark in history, taking less than 120 days from announcement to reach that milestone.” [My emphasis]
It’s pretty astounding that a product which many predicted had no plausible niche should get to one million sales. That it should turn out to be the fastest billion dollar business in history, in any product category is marginally insane.
I’m not convinced that it’s correct to assume that these are disaffected netbook buyers, but it’s pretty clear that there’s a lot of pent-up demand for something like the iPad. Mine has barely left my side since I bought it.
Think that Steve Jobs is talking out of his behind when he says that Apple needs full control over its platform? Perhaps ARM’s experience with Smartbooks will help you understand:
‘ARM dominates the mobile phone chip design market and has since 2008 been trying to get into the subnotebook market as well. The plan was to do so through Linux-based, ARM-powered ‘smartbooks’ that would provide an instant-on, longer-life alternative to x86-based netbooks but, according to ARM’s marketing vice president, Ian Drew, events have conspired to stall this plan.
“We thought [smartbooks] would be launched by now, but they’re not,” Drew told ZDNet UK on Tuesday. “I think one reason is to do with software maturity. We’ve seen things like Adobe slip — we’d originally scheduled for something like 2009.”‘
If you hand your developer platform over to a third party, you’re handing the whole platform over to them. You’re effectively tying your fate to theirs, and allowing them control over your future. For some, that might be acceptable. But for Apple, it’s not.